The fundamental reason is simple - online players are aggressive and will often attack limpers. When we have an opportunity to limp behind, we should rarely (if ever) limp.
These curves tell us that when we are playing online poker and are given an opportunity to open, we should always fold or bet. If the online game produced a lot of limped family pots, limping behind might sometimes be favorable. So the incentive to limp behind a single limper is a weak one. Online players rarely have LWPC opportunities with more than one limper ahead of them. There is a caveat to this result, however. So it's clear that we should rarely, if ever, limp behind other limpers. In fact, there is no sign at all that these curves are beginning to bend downward at the lowest LWPC percentages, which would imply that our maximum profit would occur at some low percentage. Limp With Previous Callers for online full-ring NL50 and NL100Īgain we see that the most profitable players limp behind the least often. Figure PN6-2 shows the profit made by experienced online players as a function of how often they Limp With Previous Callers (LWPC). Limping Behind Other Limpers Onlineīy comparison, limping behind other limpers might seem to be more reasonable, since our implied odds improve once additional players are in the pot. Thus, the pundits are on solid statistical ground when they advise against open-limping. It simply means that open-raising is more profitable than limping. This doesn't necessarily mean that open-limping is unprofitable. But it is clear that our maximum profit is at zero open-limping. Since there are few players in the database who never open-limp, the curves don't quite reach zero. Maximum profit occurs at the lowest rate of open-limping. We can see that open-limping reduces our profit, regardless of table position. Positional Profit vs Open-Limping for online full-ring NL500 and NL100
This database includes six million hand histories and the curves are based on the 2,000 players with the most dealt hands.
Let's begin by considering a statistical analysis of online NL50 and NL100 full-ring no-limit hold'em.įigure PN6-1 below shows the profit made by the most experienced online players as a function of how often they open-limp. So it must be good advice, right?Īs usual, the answer is it depends.
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One of the strongest poker mantras we hear is "never limp!" Or at least: "never open-limp." The "raise it if you play it" attitude is nearly universal among strong online poker players and professional live players.
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Poker author Steve Selbrede ( The Statistics of Poker, Beat the Donks, Donkey Poker) continues his strategy series on low-stakes Las Vegas cash games.
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